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Statistician Nate Silver runs FiveThirtyEight, a website named after the total number of electors in the Electoral College. Silver and FiveThirtyEight rose to fame during the 2008 primary election, when Silver, then publishing under a pseudonym, garnered praise for his predictions about the Democratic Primary race. Since then, Silver has revealed his identity and continued to publish his predictions for political races across the United States. Silver does not rely on polling information alone; rather, he incorporates multiple polls and weighs polling data with demographic information that indicates who is likely to vote. On FiveThirtyEight: 2016 Election Forecast, visitors can check out Silver's latest predictions for electoral votes on a state-by-state basis. By clicking on a particular state, visitors can see more detailed information about Silver's sources and analysis for that state. Visitors can also explore Silver's predictions for Senate campaigns and read analysis from Silver or some of his colleagues. Those interested in learning more about Silver's methodology can do so through a link on the bottom of this website.
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Scout Publication
Date of Scout Publication 2016-10-28
Archived Scout Publication URL https://scout.wisc.edu/report/2016/1028

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